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Investor market data · Arizona

Mesa, AZ Rental Market for Investors

An estimated 66% of Mesa's active listings could cash-flow as a short-term rental — here's what the numbers say for investors, as of August 2026.

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$478,000Median list price1,367 active listings
$49,502Median STR revenue / yrprojected, gross

Homes in Mesa that pencil right now

A sample of active Mesa listings whose DSCR clears 1.25 using short-term rental income projections we accept as a direct lender. These are spread across the price range, not ranked, and current as of August 2026.

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As of August 2026, we analyzed 1,367 active for-sale homes in Mesa, Arizona. The typical listing is priced at $478,000 and is projected to generate about $49,502 a year as a short-term rental.

After setting aside an estimated 20% for operating costs, an estimated 66.1% of those homes could still cover an investor mortgage payment on short-term-rental income — well above the 52.5% median across the 200 major metros we track, ranking Mesa #40 of 200 for cash-flow potential.

On market momentum: homes in Mesa sit a median of 58 days on the market, and 30% of active listings came on in just the last 30 days — a steadily paced market, which shapes how much room there is to negotiate.

For a DSCR loan — which qualifies on the property's rental income rather than your personal income — that's a relatively healthy setup: in Mesa, a meaningful share of listings throw off enough short-term-rental income, after costs, to cover an estimated investor mortgage payment.

What actually works in Mesa

Mesa works for investors, but the window is specific: 362 of the 1,186 Mesa homes, condos and townhomes we can price confidently clear a DSCR of 1.25. Nine in ten of them are priced under $599,000.

Share of those listings clearing an DSCR of 1.25, by price and bedroom count. The smaller figure is the median DSCR for that group.
Price1 bed2 bed3 bed4 bed5 bed
$150k–$250k36%1.1658%1.30———
$250k–$350k—23%1.1271%1.44——
$350k–$500k—6%0.9138%1.1867%1.37—
$500k+—0%0.6410%0.9018%1.0129%1.10

Darker means a larger share of that group cash-flows. “—” means fewer than 8 active listings — too few to draw a conclusion from.

Mesa in full

Active for-sale homes analyzed1,367
Median list price$478,000
Median projected STR revenue (annual, gross)$49,502
Median average daily rate (ADR)$216
Median occupancy63%
Median beds3
Median size1,782 sqft
Estimated cash-flow-positive share66.1%
Median days on market58 days
New listings (last 30 days)29.8% of active

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Run your numbers · Mesa

Would a Mesa rental qualify for a DSCR loan?

Pre-filled with Mesa's median price and projected short-term-rental income — change any field to match a specific property.

Rent source
Advanced
Property tax
%
Scout DSCR Live
1.15
Good · qualifying range
Qualifying rent$3,300
Monthly ITIA$2,868
Loan amount$382,400
30-year DSCR1.07
30-year PITIA$3,078
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Estimates for educational purposes. Final terms subject to credit, property & program approval.

Chad BakerJulian HebronKarina SaldarriagaMark LindenBrittani Cooper5 senior bankers · 47 states
Mesa data, human context

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